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EOD Brief — July 9, 2026

SPY look-alike · as of 15:55 ET · closest: XLV 2019-06-04 88.1/100 (A)
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today — SPY
XLV 2019-06-04 — bright = matched · dim = what followed
Closest match: XLV 2019-06-04 — 88.1/100 (A). Still tracking right now.

SPY's twin moved: this morning's read was SO 2013-05-07 (83.7/100, A). By the close it's XLV 2019-06-04 (88.1/100, A) — the match strengthened and rotated to a new twin during the session, not a straight continuation of the morning read.

What worked today

  • FCEL — the morning's clearest breakdown (-13.2% premarket, largest dollar volume on the board) fully reversed to close +2.0%, still the day's biggest dollar-volume name ($358M avg). Grade A for the reversal magnitude; can't grade close-vs-range precisely without full intraday OHLC.
  • ACMR / ALAB — the chip cluster flagged this morning extended into the close (ACMR +3.6% → +8.1%, ALAB +2.7% → +6.2%), while CRDO and UCTT faded from their premarket highs (+5% → +2.7%, +11.2% → +5.2%). Theme held for the smaller names, cracked for the mega-liquid ones. Grade B overall.
  • BFLY / ABSI — both flagged as morning backside names, both erased the loss and closed positive (BFLY -3.2% → +9.3%, ABSI -2.0% → +3.3%). Grade A for the reversal.

Tomorrow's watchlist (cross-flagged)

  • PENG — this morning's top pick (post-earnings-reversal breakout, spike Tier A) gave back most of its premarket strength, closing +3.7% vs. a +25% premarket read. Key test: hold current levels or break the breakout thesis.
  • HELE — top-scored earnings gap of the day (-4.8% gap, -10.2% total move, 2.3x rel vol). Watch for stabilization vs. continued breakdown.
  • ACMR — chip-theme extension; cleanest follow-through of the cluster.
  • FCEL — reversal name with the day's heaviest dollar volume; watch for continuation.
  • SEZL — highest-scored TFO long fire this morning (score 4.5, model 0.69); no late fires today to compare against.

Setups today

  • All 13 fires clustered in the first 25 minutes (9:45-9:55am ET) — nothing firing mid- or late-day to flag for overnight continuation. Top model scores: FRMI (0.72), UPC short (0.72), COMP (0.70), SEZL (0.69), ORCL (0.66).

Risks / rotation

  • BWET — the day's worst mover, -4.2% on $22M avg $vol.
  • Mega-cap chip liquidity (CRDO, UCTT) fading while smaller-cap chip names (ACMR, ALAB) extend is worth watching — could mean the theme is rotating down-cap rather than broadening.