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EOD Brief — July 10, 2026

What worked today

  • BYRN — reported after Thursday's close, gapped -21.0%, then kept selling into the close: -33.7% from prior, 8.8x relative volume. Grade C — a clean breakdown, no support found all session.
  • SMPL — beat and gapped +17.1%, but faded -13.4% off the open to close just +1.3%. Grade C on the gap — a failed follow-through, not a breakout.
  • LABX — the cleanest gainer by range: +12.4% (ADR 19%), no obvious catalyst in today's scans. MUU closed +8.8% on $2.96B avg dollar volume, the heaviest-traded gainer on the board; OUST +9.5% and MULL +8.9% also extended.

Tomorrow's watchlist

  • BYRN — breakdown in progress; watch for further downside or an oversold bounce.
  • SMPL — faded gap; watch whether Monday holds Friday's low.
  • LABX, MUU — biggest clean range movers, no news, watch for continuation.
  • PENG — gapped down -7% on July 7, has since clawed back (+3.7% today, ADR 11.4%) — recovery in progress.

Earnings tonight / Monday premarket

  • Big bank kickoff before Monday's open: JPM, BAC, GS, WFC, C, MS, BNY, PNC, plus ASML, JNJ, DAL, FAST, ERIC.
  • Reporting after tonight's close: AEHR, UAL, JBHT among others — thin scores, no standout expected.

Risks / things breaking down

  • BYRN — earnings-driven breakdown, no bounce all day.
  • SMPL — gap-and-fade; momentum didn't hold despite the beat.

(Movers data doesn't carry intraday open/high/low, so follow-through grades above lean on the earnings-gap book's open/close detail where available.)

SPY look-alike

SPY look-alike · as of 16:00 ET · closest: EFA 2022-08-12 84.6/100 (A)
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Closest match: EFA 2022-08-12 — 84.6/100 (A). Still tracking right now.

The twin moved: this morning's closest match was XLV 2019-06-04 (88.1, A); by the close SPY's nearest neighbor had shifted to EFA 2022-08-12 (84.6, A) — a different ticker and setup entirely, meaning today's shape diverged from the pre-open read rather than tracking it through the session.

Shape-math context on the last completed session (7/9, TD+ bull trend day): half-life 64m vs a 47m type median, laminarity 0.91 vs 0.84 — a notably cleaner, harder trend than typical. Closest archetype family: tfo_up (distance 0.07), well separated from downside archetypes. No motif recurrence, no character-shift seam — the session held one character throughout. Descriptive measurements of a finished session, not signals.